Evans Kakai, a former Commissioner with the Kenya Revenue Authority is the man tipped to win the Kabuchai parliamentary seat.
Kabuchai is in Bungoma County.
It was split from the lager Sirisia Constituency.
The seat fell vacant after the death of James Lusweti Mukwe last year.
The bye election is slated for March 4 2021.
Politician Tale Nabangi who emerged second in 2017 elections also died because of Covid-19 complications.
According to local analysts, Evans Kaki will carry the day because the popular Ford Kenya party has two factions.
Kakai is an independent candidate.
“Moses Wetangula’s Ford Kenya has been rocked from within. With two factions, Ford Kenya stands to lose the seat. This is because Governor Wangamati’s faction will campaign against Senator Wetangula’s candidate. Wangamati and his group have resources at their disposal,” said analyst Barth Namasambu.
Namasambu added that Kakai who is a native of Kabuchai is appealing to the voters unlike Ford Kenya’s Majimbo Kalasinga.
“Evans Kaki has money. He is supported by DP William Ruto and many people say they will vote for him because he is a better candidate and not necessarily because of the DPs support,” Namasambu said.
If Wetangula’s candidate loses the seat, this will be a blow to him since his political influence will wane.
He is a former MP of the area before it was split into Kabuchai and Sirisia Constituencies.
On his social media platforms, Kakai promised to improve education in Kabuchai.
“We shall expand and improve the learning facilities in our schools in line with COVID – 19 protocols to make it safe and better for our children,” he said.